Bucky Dent

“The one sure thing about baseball is – you never know.” Yogi Berra? No. Casey Stengel? No. Try, Joaquin Andujar, former St. Louis Cardinals pitcher.

As baseball analysts perform their post-season predictions in dogmatic fashion, history tells us uncertainty is the one certainty in the rear of almost every October baseball series.

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Baseball Prospectus’ “Playoff Odds Report” suggests there are only a handful of teams that could possibly win the World Series.

According to the report, the New York Mets have a 38.7% chance of making the post season, a 32.5% of making it to the Divisional series and a 2.6% chance of winning the World Series. The data is based on each team’s “adjusted playoff percentage and expected win percentage.” Baseball Prospectus simulated calculations suggest the Mets will win 84 games and finish with a .515 winning percentage.

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Despite leading the American League Eastern division by 14 ½ games as late as mid-August, the summer of 1978 may go down in history as one of the most miserable in Boston Red Sox history.

Over the next six weeks, the second-place Yankees would catch fire while the Red Sox watched the wheels fall off their seemingly impassable lead.

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